Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in Tanzania: Do they Matter for Economic Growth?
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v11i2.82Keywords:
trade, FDI, economic growth, time-series, TanzaniaAbstract
This paper analyses the effect of trade and foreign direct investments (FDI) on Tanzania’s economic growth using time-series data from 1970 to 2019. All the variables are found to be integrated of order one, I (1). The study applies the cointegration test and a VECM accordingly. The Johansen test underscores the presence of two co-integrating equations, which confirms the long-run associations between variables. The VECM demonstrates the presence of a long-run relationship running from FDI, TRD, and EXR to GDP growth. While the Wald test reveals the presence of short-run causality running from FDI and TRD to GPD; however, there is no short-run causality from EXR to GDP. The study concludes that there is a positive relationship between the explanatory variables and economic growth. Therefore, the Tanzanian government should encourage exports to realize the potential effects of trade and FDI on economic growth.
JEL Classification: O4, F1, FE
Downloads
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who publish in the Tanzania Economic Review retain the copyright to their work and grant the University of Dar es Salaam a non-exclusive license to publish, reproduce, and distribute the article.
this article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, adaptation, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.